The
Next Step For Humanity |
Sea Level
- Sea level
rise is 6cm a decade (Lovelock, 2007, photo opp p78). It is
still far from clear whether the observed rise of sea level of the past
fifty
years is due mainly to the expansion of ocean water as it warms or
mainly to
the melting of glaciers (Lovelock, 2007, p82).
- A sea
level rise of one metre could permanently flood 21 percent of Bangladesh, including its best agricultural
land, pushing some fifteen million people out of their homes (Monbiot,
p21).
- One fifth
of the Netherlands is below sea level, as much as 22 feet
below…
"We began draining [the polders] one thousand years ago. Today, we
still
have to
keep pumping out the water that gradually seeps in. In each polder
there are
lines of pumps, starting with those furthest from the sea, pumping the
water in
sequence until the last pump finally pumps it out into a river or the
ocean… If
global warming causes polar ice melting and a rise in sea level , the
consequences will be more severe for the Netherlands than for any other country in the
world, because so much of our land is already under sea level.
That’s why we
Dutch are so aware of our environment. We’ve learned through our
history that
we’re all living in the same polder, and that our survival
depends on each
other’s survival (Diamond, p519-520)." A rise of half a metre in sea level would
require 18 million Dutch people to be rehoused.
- The New
York Metropolitan area, home to nearly twenty million people, has 2,400
kilometres of coastline – most of it low lying and heavily built
up with
apartment blocks, roads and rail links… most rail, tunnel and
airport entrances
lie at elevations of only three metres or less (Lynas, p158).
- In the
last ice age… the sea level was 120 metres lower than now, and
land equal in
area to the continent of Africa which is now below water was then above
it…
Imagine there was a civilisation with cities on the coast… Who
among them would
have believed an early climate forecaster who claimed that soon they
would be
120 metres beneath an ocean? (Lovelock, 2007, p68)
- Climatologists
now think that we are perilously close to the threshold beyond which
adverse
change sets in; change that is, on a human timescale, irreversible. The
earth
does not catch fire, but it becomes hot enough to melt most of the Greenland ice and some of the West Antarctica ice; enough water will then be
added to the world oceans to raise sea levels by fourteen metres. It is
sobering to think that nearly all of the present great centres of
population
are currently below what could be the ocean surface in a mere blink of
geological
time (Lovelock, 2007, p59).
- Business-as-usual
greenhouse gas emissions, without any doubt, will commit the planet to
global warming of a magnitude that will lead eventually to an ice-free
planet. An ice-free planet means a sea level rise of
about 75 metres (Hansen, p250) Our
house in Woking, Surrey is 49 metres above sea level
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